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Israel and Jewish Life

Israeli domestic politics, society, and economy, plus Jewish religion and identity. Israel's wars go to geopolitics; general topics merely set in Israel go to their topic category.

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#6208: Israel's 120-Seat Forecasting Ministry

A windowless office, a serious budget, and one job: forecast Israel's 120-seat Knesset as well as it can be done.

israelelectionsforecasting-and-wargamingisraeli-elections

#6204: Two Humans, One Table Each: Calling Israel's Election

No models this time — just two seat-by-seat tables, fifty vs. fifty-nine, and a defector hunt two seats short of a majority.

israelelectionsforecasting-and-wargamingharedi-communityisrael-defense-forces

#6200: What Israeli Election Polls Hide Behind Seat Counts

A new open source tool simulates 100,000 election allocations from a single poll — and shows why "4 seats" is less certain than it sounds.

statisticselectionsisraelisraeli-elections

#6100: Voting From an Embassy: Israel's 4,860-Voter Election

101 polling stations in 99 missions, 4,860 eligible voters, 30 hours of polls rolling west with the sun.

electionsisraeldigital-privacybureaucracyisraeli-elections

#6091: ישראל בוחרת, חלק ב׳: על מה המפלגות עומדות

רוב המפלגות בישראל לא פרסמו מצע כבר שנים. הנה מה שהן אומרות בפועל שיעשו, והנושאים שבהם הן שותקות.

haredi-communityisrael-defense-forceselectionsisraelisrael-defense-forces

#6088: What 5,964 Episodes Reveal About One Show

Nearly 6,000 episodes, sorted and mapped. AI and geopolitics spike, then fade — but a third of all "nearest neighbours" cross category lines.

ai-evaluationtraining-dataai-bias

#6085: Israel Votes, Part 5: Rent and Noise, Side by Side

657,000 noise complaints in 2.5 years, 1 in 7 fined — and only one party platform even mentions noise. What the parties actually wrote on rent and ...

cost-of-livinghousing-affordabilityrenting-and-tenant-rightsisrael-defense-forcesisraeli-elections

#6084: ישראל בוחרת, חלק א׳: מי באמת רץ

שלושים ושמונה רשימות, שני גושים ואחוז חסימה אחד: המפה המלאה של הבחירות לכנסת ב־27 באוקטובר 2026.

israelelectionsisrael-defense-forcesceasefires-and-peace-dealsisraeli-elections

#6082: Brazen, Not Fraudulent: Hunting Staycation Deals in Israel

Last-minute staycation hacks for Israel: empty-hotel leverage, the zimmer sites, card and reservist discounts, and Hilbert's laminated rules for asking a hotel for a deal.

cost-of-livingtourismcurrency-and-exchange-ratestaxes

#6078: Reading Polymarket's Israel Election Prices

25 live markets, $47M on one question — what the money says about Israel's next prime minister.

electionsisraelfine-tuningisraeli-elections

#6075: Israel's Pollsters: Who Calls the Race Before You Vote

Nine days out, a tour of Israel's polling culture — the pollsters who matter, the famous misses, and the numbers to watch on election night.

electionsisraelhistory-of-technologyjewish-historyjournalism-and-media

#6073: Israel Votes, Part 4: The Forecast

Three forecasting methods, seven synthetic voters and one prediction for Israel's 27 October election: Yashar 21, Likud 20, and nobody reaches 61.

electionsisraelceasefires-and-peace-dealsforecasting-and-wargamingconstitutional-law

#6067: Israel's Freedom of Information Law, Explained

Israel's FOI law promises documents in 30 days. So why do ministries lose 88% of the transparency cases brought against them?

bureaucracylegislationisraelcourts-and-judiciary

#6066: Israel Votes, Part 2: What the Parties Stand For

Most Israeli parties haven't published a platform in years. Here's what they actually say they'll do — and where they stay silent.

israelelectionsharedi-communityisrael-defense-forcesceasefires-and-peace-deals
Also available in:עברית

#6065: Israel Votes, Part 3: A Renter's Voting Recommendation

A Jerusalem renter wants to know which party actually helps him. We scored Israel's parties against his views on rent, prices, and daily life.

electionsisraelcost-of-livingtaxesharedi-community

#6064: Israel Votes, Part 1: Who Is Actually Running

Thirty-eight lists, a first on-time election since 1988, and a ballot full of parties that didn't exist eighteen months ago. Here's the map.

israelelectionsceasefires-and-peace-dealsisraeli-elections
Also available in:עברית

#5929: Who Believes God Is Personally Involved? The Data on Divine Providence

Three different ideas hide inside "everything happens for a reason" — and the polling on who actually believes God is involved in their life is str...

jewish-lawzionismjewish-historymathematicsmathematics

#5921: Israel's Urgent Care Safety Net: What Broke

A Jerusalem family's two terrifying nights expose the layer beneath the ER — and the doctor shortage behind it.

healthcare-systemsrespiratory-healthisrael-defense-forces

#5902: Four Tribes, One Ballot: Israel's Coalition Maze

Thirty-eight parties, a 3.25% threshold, and four groups that don't agree on what the country is even for.

electionsisrael-defense-forcesharedi-communityisraelconstitutional-law

#5901: Haredi: How a Word Became a Tribe

The Hebrew means "trembling in awe." The English translation means "beyond the pale." How did one word become a whole society?

haredi-communityisraeljewish-historyzionismisrael-defense-forces