#prediction-markets
2 episodes
#2145: Why the Money Beats the Machines on Ceasefires
In April 2026, AI wargames predicted a 55% chance of the Iran-Israel ceasefire holding, while prediction markets priced it at 68%. Here's why the g...
#1107: Betting on the Brink: Polymarket and the Future of War
Can you profit from a missile strike? Explore how Polymarket turns global crises into high-stakes, real-time prediction markets.